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2024-12-14 01:48:38

What is the significance of fiscal and monetary policy adjustment? Expert: The path of "more active and promising" fiscal policy has been clarified. The Central Economic Work Conference, which closed yesterday, pointed out that a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented next year. What kind of signals are released behind these policies? In terms of fiscal policy, the Central Economic Work Conference requested that a more active fiscal policy should be implemented next year, so as to improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance of special bonds for local governments, optimize the structure of fiscal expenditure, and secure the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. Experts said that these requirements clarified the path of "more active and promising" fiscal policy. Focusing on vigorously boosting consumption, the Central Economic Work Conference requires that special actions to boost consumption should be implemented next year, the basic pension for retirees should be appropriately raised, and the "two new" policies (large-scale equipment renewal and trade-in of consumer goods) should be implemented. (CCTV News)Centeno, Governing Committee of the European Central Bank: Fortunately, yesterday's decision of the European Central Bank was unanimously adopted.The annual evaluation report of the big model in the financial field was released, and the big model of Step Star/Fortune Leap Star performed well. The 6th Shanghai International Forum on Financial Technology was held in Shanghai. At the meeting, Shanghai Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, together with Shanghai University of Finance and Economics and Shanghai Cooper Technology Co., Ltd., released the Report on Evaluation of Large Models in Financial Field (2024), which comprehensively evaluated 20 models from five dimensions: model basic ability, financial security and value alignment ability, financial risk control ability, financial professional cognitive ability and financial business auxiliary expansion ability. The comprehensive scores of Anthropic, Step Star/Fortune Star and Alibaba ranked in the top three. Step-2-16k model of Step Star/Fortune Star got the second comprehensive score, and the multi-modal comprehensive score of Finstep model got the first.


The Public Offering of Fund sales qualification of Goldman Sachs (China) Securities was approved, and the Beijing Securities Regulatory Bureau approved the sales qualification of Goldman Sachs (China) Securities Co., Ltd. to publicly raise securities investment funds. According to the reply, the sales license of Goldman Sachs (China) Securities Public Offering Securities Investment Fund is valid for 3 years from the date of first issuance. Goldman Sachs (China) Securities shall, in accordance with the requirements of the Securities Investment Fund Law, the Measures for the Supervision and Administration of Sales Organizations of Public Offering Securities Investment Funds and other relevant laws and regulations, complete the preparatory work for opening within 6 months.Zhongke Lanxun: The cooperation between the company and the bean bag model will be carried out in multiple stages. Zhongke Lanxun released the record of investor relations activities. In order to meet the increasing demand for AI headsets in the market, the company has carried out in-depth cooperation with Volcano Engine, a cloud service platform owned by ByteDance. The third-generation BT895x chip of Xunlong Company has completed the docking with the MaaS platform of Volcano Ark, and has been able to provide users with software and hardware solutions adapted to the large model of bean curd. The cooperation between the company and the bean bag model will be carried out in multiple stages. At this stage, the functions of real-time translation, meeting minutes, real-time dialogue and so on have been adapted. Later, both parties will introduce more AI functions in different usage scenarios. In the future, the company will continue to lay out the field of AI wearable products, continue to cooperate deeply with the big model of bean bags, and introduce AI wearable solutions with better user experience to the market.From January to October, the total output of lithium batteries in China increased by 16% year-on-year. According to the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, China's lithium-ion battery industry continued to grow from January to October 2024. According to the announcement of lithium battery industry norms, enterprise information and industry associations, the total output of lithium batteries in China from January to October was 890GWh, up 16% year-on-year. According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, the profit of China's lithium battery manufacturing industry increased by 39.4% from January to October. In the battery sector, the output of energy storage lithium batteries exceeded 200GWh from January to October. The loading capacity of power lithium batteries for new energy vehicles is about 405GWh. From January to October, the total export of lithium batteries in China reached 350.2 billion yuan, down 9.2% year-on-year, and the decline was 3.3 percentage points narrower than that in January-June.


Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.The concept of robot bottomed out and Tianqi shares rose linearly, and Tianqi shares rose linearly. Before that, the construction industry went out of 9 boards in 10 days, Astar went out of 13 boards in 21 days, and Tongda Power went up. Hanyu Group, Maihe, Jiangsu Reilly, Hanwei Technology and Best were among the top gainers.Vegetable oil fell by 1.90% on the 13th, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract vegetable oil closed at 2,505, up or down by -1.90%, with a turnover of 535,800 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 21,545 lots. The total turnover of vegetable oil futures contracts was 593,700 lots, a decrease of 112,100 lots from the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 232,900 lots, a decrease of 3,819 lots from the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 254,200 lots, an increase of 687 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)

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